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Archive for September, 2012

Gunnar Myrdal’s Asian Drama-Pakistan follows predicted pattern!


The prophetic wisdom of Gunnar Myrdal:Pakistan in the Asian Drama

Gunnar Myrdal: Pakistan following the pattern described by him 45 years ago

There are several aspects in Myrdal’s analysis of Pakistan in light of which he explains why Pakistan has not been that successful in its development aspirations. The lack of national purpose.

One of the most striking observations of Myrdal in regard to Pakistan is at the outset of his discussion on the chapter on Pakistan identifying “the lack of national purpose.” He comments: “Few modern states started their independent existence on such a tenuous basis and under such severe initial difficulties as Pakistan.” [Myrdal, 1968, p. 305] Such a view of statement might elicit quick reaction that there was a purpose: to embody an Islamic vision.

Myrdal recognizes the existence of such a purpose, but goes at great length explaining why it was so vacuous. “Behind the unfavorable circumstances of its origin was a fundamental predicament – the lack of a clear conception of the kind of state that should be created and the aims it should pursue. The struggle for Pakistan was exclusively concerned with freeing Moslems from Hindu domination.” [Myrdal, 1968, p. 306]. The statement with such substitution would read like this: “Behind the unfavorable circumstances of its origin was a fundamental predicament – the lack of a clear conception of the kind of state that should be created and the aims it should pursue.

Although in case of Pakistan Islam was used to justify the two nation theory in favor of a separate nation for the Muslims. Even cursorily, it is worth noting that Myrdal had very high regard for Islam. He writes very highly about Islam and its compatibility with the modernization ideals, and at the same time he recognized the cultural distortions of Islam as a received legacy at the popular level.2 This is important in the context of Pakistan because it is a Muslim majority country. Whether one views the role of religion in development and transformation of a society positively or negatively, it is undeniable that religion at the popular level has a deep and strong hold on the mass.

b. Lack of pre-independence planning

“The campaign for Pakistan … left confusion about the aims and policies to be pursued by the new state. … [T]he Muslim League in pre-independence times was so locked in the fight for partition that it never developed a social and economic program as did the Indian Congress. What the new state should do for its citizens – other than free them from Hindu domination – was left vague and uncertain. The political inclinations of most of the leaders of the League were probably similar to those of British conservatives a few generations ago; they wanted the new state to be secular and in some sense modern, not only in its formal political institutions; it should even be progressive, provided their privileged position was not jeopardized.” [Myrdal, 1968, p. 308]

While there were the 6, 7, and 11 resolutions as part of the pre-independence political campaign in East Pakistan, none of those sets of resolution amounted to a vision that had any bearing on it as independent nation, partly because those resolutions where designed for seeking autonomy, not independence. Although some still argue, with some validity, that the campaign for autonomy was merely a disguise for pushing the country to the brink of separation, facilitating the environment and mood for complete independence.

Similar to the experience of Pakistan, where the privileged class of the pre-independence period vigorously sought, fought for and succeeded in preserving and enhancing their privileges, primarily the big landlords and feudals in Pakistan [Myrdal, 1968, p. 234-235], the essential similarity lies in the motivation and campaign of the “privileged” class, whatever its composition or nature is, to preserve its reign.

c. The initial difficulty

Recognizing the importance of the initial difficulty faced by Pakistan, Myrdal commented: “Born in communal strife and political and economic chaos and bordered by hostile neighbors, the country’s mere survival as a political unit was remarkable.” [Myrdal, 1968, p. 305]. Among the aspects of initial difficulty, he included (a) the separation of the two wings of the country thousand miles apart with a hostile country in between; relatively less natural resources compared to India; inherited hardly any main offices of major firms, banks, or industry; and inherited fewer administrators, clerks, professional and business people, and skilled workers than India. [Myrdal, 1968, p. 305]

Pakistan inherited a disproportionately smaller share of the resources at independence compared to its counterpart in India Yet, quite similarly, Myrdal’s statement about the survival of Pakistan was “remarkable”, given the greater initial difficulty.

 

d. Lack of democratic leadership

In light of the modernization goals, as stated and embraced publicly by Pakistani leaders, democracy was to be the political norm. “As in the other liberated countries of South Asia, it was commonly agreed that Pakistan should be a democratic state in which fundamental rights and social justice were guaranteed to all and power resided with the governed.” [Myrdal, 1968, p. 312] Myrdal especially emphasized the point that as a part of pre-Independence vision, Indian leadership had a commitment to build a democratic tradition, unlike the Pakistani leadership. Even throughout the independence movement, Indian leadership fostered a more populist form of culture, rather than authoritarian leadership. Myrdal also makes a point as to how the charisma of Jinnah was such that neither he liked to be challenged, nor did anyone dare to. Those around him elevated him to “Quaid-e-Azam” (great leader) compared to a more down-to-earth title for Gandhi, the Mahatma (great souled), or to the ordinary people, Bapuji.

“[W]ithin the Indian National Congress the fundamental principle of government by discussion, with its correlatives of cooperation and discipline, had been established. Pakistan had far fewer leaders of similar caliber and less of a tradition of discussion among them. Jinnah not only became the permanent President of the Muslim League; he converted his position into a virtual dictatorship. … In India the Congress kept together after independence and preserved its popular following and, particularly in the beginning, a remarkable degree of centralized direction. It thus remained an effective political machine. … This had given the stability to government in India that Pakistan has not enjoyed.” [Myrdal, 1968, pp. 246-247]

 

e. National consolidation and emotional integration

For any kind of development a reasonable level of political and social stability and cohesion is a must. Myrdal’s perspective on this is contained in two different expressions: national consolidation and emotional integration. In regard to those who articulate the modernization ideals in the Asian Drama, in his view, “harbor within themselves sharply conflicting valuations. … In Western countries such differences also exist, but through a long process of national consolidation, or of what in India is called ’emotional integration,’ these differences have tended to diminish. The modern democratic welfare states developed in the West during the past half century have a high degree of ‘created harmony’ of interests and ideals.” [Myrdal, 1968, p. 53]

In evaluating the experience of Pakistan in terms of national consolidation, writing more than twenty years after the independence and two years before partition, Myrdal wrote: “Any government in Pakistan that tries to engender national consolidation and development must cope with certain basic difficulties. It is a very poor country without a history of political identity or national allegiance. Its population is divided by widespread social and economic inequalities and its solidarity further strained by a geographical division into two roughly equal units whose principal tie is a common religion and a shared animosity to the large neighbor that separates them. Clearly, religion and resentment against a neighboring state are precarious foundations on which to build a modern state.” [Myrdal, 1968, p. 338]

Myrdal, quite empathetically, discusses the issue of indigenous languages and even the specific case of the Language Movement in East Pakistan. “No real ’emotional integration’ of the new nations and therefore no secure national consolidation is possible as long as the members of the tiny upper class in charge of administration, law enforcement, and modernized business and industry communicate in a European language and the masses speak only their native tongue. … On rational grounds, therefore, increased use of the indigenous language must be part of the planning in all South Asian countries, both in the conduct of ordinary affairs and in businesses, governmental bodies, and, of course, schools and universities.” [Myrdal, 1968, pp. 81-82]

Pakistan went far beyond just a failure to recognize such needs. During the earliest days of Pakistan, there was a deliberate effort to impose a language on the majority of the country as a national language. The seed of emotional rift that was sowed by the leaders of Muslim League only inevitably grew with no genuine effort toward ’emotional integration.’ Rather, economic as well all other policies in Pakistan were basically discriminatory particularly toward East Pakistan, where the majority of the country resided.

What is the Bangladesh experience? Well, almost business as usual. If Pakistan had a tenuous national purpose, the case of Bangladesh was no better. The hatred for Pakistanis, however, much justified in light of the two decades’ experience as one nation, has not proven to be a sufficient foundation for a better future in light of the post-independence experience of Bangladesh.

The country is falling apart from inside due to a serious lack of emotional integration both at the domestic as well as the regional level. The trauma of India-Pakistan separation after the British left has not healed and no genuine effort has been made from either side in that direction since 1947. The post-independence experience of Pakistan has not been toward an emotional integration. The most tragic fact about that is the way Bangladesh had to seek its independence in 1971. Even after 1971, Pakistan’s emotional integration is not in the positive direction: those who migrated to Pakistan from India and those who are “originally” from Pakistan are still killing each other. The post-independence direction of Bangladesh is not much different.

One of the most important rifts serving as a stumbling block toward emotional integration and national consolidation is indicated by the fact that Sheikh Mujibur Rahman, the leader of the Independence movement and the subsequent PM of Bangladesh, was brutally assassinated along with most of his family members. The ruling party, the same party of Sheikh Mujibur Rahman, is now at loggerhead with combined opposition, which has brought the country to a dead-end. Some observers even mention about a potential civil war.

 

f. Lack of constructive opposition

Myrdal attributes relative success of India, as compared to Pakistan, in regard to institutionalization of democracy to the leadership of India in developing a better political culture traceable even during the pre-independence period.

Pakistan’s case was different as we have already explained above. Due to the authoritarian culture of the leadership during pre-independence as well as post-independence period, the country is yet to see any genuine transition toward a stable and functional democracy. The last few “elected” regimes under Benazir Bhutto and Nawaz Sharif and their internecine politics resulted into reassertion and reemergence of the military rule.

The political culture and experience of Bangladesh are similar. Sheikh Mujibur Rahman and General Zia were assassinated, General Ershad was overthrown and then thrown into jail, Khaleda Zia’s elected government was brought down by the united movement of the opposition, and now the government of Sheikh Hasina is facing the tit from the combined opposition for the earlier tat. The people some time get tired of such farcical democracy as it seems that the common people of Pakistan are not that much bothered about the return of the military rule.

Reflecting on the nature and the conduct of opposition parties, whoever they may be at different times – call it the opposition culture – Myrdal wrote: “Even the most devoted friend of political democracy cannot see much hope for national consolidation and development in the fight being waged in the name of democracy by the present opposition parties.” [Myrdal, 1968, p. 341]

As Myrdal pointed out that the call for freedom from domination of the British and the Hindu could incite one group against the other, but “its positive value in creating national identity and purpose was to prove rather illusory” in Pakistan in post-1947 period. The case of Bangladesh, seeking freedom from the domination of the Pakistanis also, so far, has proved illusory “in creating national identity and purpose” conducive for a true development and transformation.

Interestingly, Myrdal was not very convinced that democracy has a bright future in Pakistan, given its past authoritarian history and culture. More importantly, he did not feel that, generally speaking, western-type democracy was a precondition toward development. Based on his analysis, he saw, in a somewhat paradoxical fashion, “the elites rather than the masses are the instruments of social change in the context of a paternalistic and authoritarian political structure” [Chossudovsky, p. 106]. Probably giving some credence to the notion of “enlightened despotism”, he wrote: “It may be doubted whether this ideal of political democracy – with political power based on free elections and with freedom of assembly, press, and other civil liberties – should be given weight in formulating the modernization ideals. … Experience has shown that, unlike other value premises, this ideal is not essential to a system comprising all the other modernization ideals. National independence, national consolidation, changes in institutions and attitudes, equalization, rise of productivity, rise and redirection of consumption, and more generally, planning for development can be attained by an authoritarian regime bent on their realization. On the other hand, the substitution of an authoritarian regime for a more democratic one gives no assurance that policies will be directed toward the realization of those ideals, or that, if so directed, they will be more effective.” [Myrdal, 1968, p. 65]

Those enamored with modernization ideals might not quite agree with Myrdal’s viewpoint as articulated above, but that is not probably because Myrdal is incorrect, but because at least the semblance of democracy is indispensable in modern times. Thus, even the military juntas who come to power through backdoors, the first thing they have to proclaim is their deep faith in democracy.

Somewhat sympathetically, Myrdal refers to Ayub Khan’s comment about the failed politicians: “They were given a system of government totally unsuited to the temper and climate of the country.” [Myrdal, 1968, p. 324] Myrdal’s own remark in regard to the Ayub Khan’s regime was even more revealing: “Thus what hope there is for progress in Pakistan must be attached to the present quasi-dictatorial regime: to its ability, despite its very narrow class basis, to advance national goals of planning, equality, and consolidation and to purse the state of corruption.” [Myrdal, 1968, p. 341] The ghost of Ayub Khan returned as General Musharraf in Pakistan, reinforcing Myrdal’s point.

Is the experience of Pakistan, especially the dysfunctional democracy, another confirmation of Myrdal’s prognosis that the politicians of Pakistan too are incompatible to a culture of functional democracy? Pakistan seems to have vindicated him, even posthumously. Would the case of Bangladesh be any different?

Conclusion 

As enunciated in this paper, in light of Myrdal’s Asian Drama, there are certain real non-economic determinants or impediments to economic development that may cause a country to perpetuate in a vicious circle. Myrdal’s contribution in the field of economic development had most profound effect as development paradigms have shifted through several phases including basic needs approach and sustainable development. Unfortunately, many of the countries Myrdal chose as actors in his drama probably have not read the drama or have not read as assiduously as Myrdal himself strove to write. Myrdal passed away in 1987 and thus lived nearly two decades after Asian Drama was published. He was greatly disappointed by the general path followed by most of the countries included in Asian Drama. [Ethier, p. 84] For a true transformation of any economy, including Pakistan and Bangladesh, addressing the non-economic problems is critical. Although Bangladesh was not dealt with as a separate unit for his analysis, remarkably, as articulated in this paper, the experience of Bangladesh fits quite snugly into Myrdal’s analysis as simply a continuation of Pakistan’s experience.

Is there any hope? Well, Myrdal was only cautiously optimistic about Pakistan. Whatever conclusions Myrdal drew and opinions expressed were merely results of his most comprehensive analysis of development issues to date. Myrdal’s conception of Asian Drama was not like a staged drama with a predetermined end. Thus, there is hope.

Myrdal wrote: “In the classic conception of drama – as in the theoretical phase of a scientific study – the will of the actors was confined in the shackles of determinism. The outcome at the final curtain was predetermined by the opening up of the drama in the first act, accounting for all the conditions and causes of later developments. The protagonist carried his ultimate fate in his soul, while he was groping for his destiny. In life, while the drama is still unfolding – as in the practical phase of a study, when policy inferences are drawn from value premises as well as from premises based on empirical evidence – the will is instead assumed to be free, within limits, to choose between alternative courses of action. History, then, is not taken to be predetermined, but within the power of man to shape. And the drama thus conceived is not necessarily tragedy.” [Myrdal, 1968, p. 35]

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India’s Ozymandias syndrome

 

“…We are both Indian and we belong to a very mature democracy. We are proud of that. We look at transacting relations with our neighbours in a very mature and balanced way.

“And that is the approach that India brings to these talks. I do not want to comment or pontificate on Pakistan’s attitude. That is for Pakistan to introspect about. And I hope they will turn the searchlight inwards on themselves and understand where the problems lie.”

The strong views were shared by India’s Foreign Secretary Nirupama Rao with a TV reporter. This was just a day after the Delhi-Islamabad foreign ministers’ meeting turned into a bruising media show. Indeed, from the days when Gunnar Myrdal described Pakistani diplomats in the Asian Drama in the 1960s as better gifted with conviviality and social graces than their Indian counterparts there has been a marked change in the calibre, one that should not flatter anyone in Islamabad. Last week’s events there were proof if any is required.

So Ms Rao’s implied critique of Pakistan was completely justified. However, her self-praise as a counterpoint was an unnecessary exaggeration. Firstly there is no known link between the quality of diplomacy projected by a country and its proximity to democracy. Be it Soviet diplomacy under Andrei Gromyko and his many remarkable successors, or Chinese diplomacy since the days of Zhou En-lai, they impacted on India with negligible signs of an equal response from the fabled maturity of Delhi’s stewards of democracy.

Gromyko kept India wrapped in the warmth of a debilitating bear hug, scarcely allowing its mesmerised leaders to breathe without feeling grateful to the Soviet clasp. The less than democratic Chinese, meanwhile, encircled India — not militarily but politically — with all the independent nations of the subcontinent who as India’s neighbours should have felt closer to New Delhi not to Beijing.Whether it was Nepal or Sri Lanka, Pakistan or Bangladesh they all ganged up, as Gen Hossain Ershad, host of the first Saarc summit in Dhaka in 1985, told me, “Because we were all allergic to India.”

Moreover, so-called mature democracies can be very hollow systems. Britain was a parliamentary democracy when it colonised India. And it was another great democracy that wreaked havoc on helpless Japanese civilians whose ill-effects have not completely waned. It was as a representative of a powerful democracy that Robert McNamara justified his horrific massacres in Vietnam.

As for India’s mature democracy, it was the only country in the world, according to a Pew survey, where George W. Bush, shunned and disowned by dictators and democracies alike, was celebrated as a popular hero.

Compared to Pakistan’s Shah Mehmood Qureshi’s peevishness, India’s Foreign Minister S.M. Krishna presented a picture of dignity in Islamabad last week. However, did he represent a mature democracy in Pakistan? I wish he did.

Cast your eyes at the state of Karnataka, where he was chief minister not long ago and from where he derives political legitimacy. What was the most democratic issue gripping everybody there precisely when Mr Krishna was on a fence-mending visit to Islamabad?

There was fury there over a border city called Belgaum. In a completely parochial (and I dare say typically Indian) campaign, an old genie was let loose by Mr Krishna’s Congress party rulers in Maharashtra to lay claim on Belgaum which has a substantial population of Marathi speakers.

The move put Mr Krishna and his other Congress colleagues in such a fix in Karnataka that their position on Belgaum rather than his achievements as foreign minister would determine his political future. Serious water-sharing disputes between Indian states have remained unsettled in 65 years of independence. They make differences over the sharing of water with Pakistan look like a picnic.

I do not know what defines the mature democracy that Ms Rao refers to. She probably had in mind the Nehruvian vision of equitable growth at home and a towering presence in world affairs. It was undoubtedly his economic vision that informed Nehru’s foreign policy — solidarity of developing nations opposed to the self-serving waywardness of superpowers. But that was shunned by Dr Manmohan Singh 20 years ago.

Just when Mr Krishna was visiting Islamabad last week, an improbable news item must have disturbed him. In a week when Delhi’s new world-class airport opened for business and the Indian Space Research Organisation celebrated the successful launch of five new satellites, it had a stark reminder of another India that, increasingly, many Indians feel embarrassed to talk about.

A UN-backed study by Oxford University revealed that poverty in at least eight Indian states — Bihar, Uttar Pradesh, Rajasthan, West Bengal, Orissa, Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh and Jharkhand — was worse than in some of the poorest countries of sub-Saharan Africa.

The findings are based on a global poverty index, the Multidimensional Poverty Index or MPI, developed by Oxford University. It takes into account a range of social factors not hitherto considered while measuring poverty and will replace the Human Poverty Index which, until now, has formed the basis for the annual UN human development reports.

In the land of Kabir and other matchless sages, including Nehru, who cautioned against the temptations of false vanity, Indian diplomacy’s superior airs never fail to remind me of the poem Ozymandias by Shelley. Or as the charming historian and Nehru’s biographer Prof S. Gopal would describe it — “an imposing structure on crumbling grounds”.

Shelley might as well have taken his inspiration from Kabir, who roamed the villages of India in the pre-Mughal era or Mir Taqi who said in the 19th century: “Jis sar ko ghuroor aaj hai yaa’n taajwarika; kal uspe yahin shor hai phir nioha gari ka.”

Shelley’s version of Mir’s thoughts went thus:

I met a traveller from an antique land
Who said: “Two vast and trunkless legs of stone
Stand in the desert. Near them on the sand,
Half sunk, a shattered visage lies, whose frown
And wrinkled lip and sneer of cold command
Tell that its sculptor well those passions read
Which yet survive, stamped on these lifeless things,
The hand that mocked them and the heart that fed.
And on the pedestal these words appear:
‘My name is Ozymandias, King of Kings:
Look on my works, ye mighty, and despair!’
Nothing beside remains. Round the decay
Of that colossal wreck, boundless and bare,
The lone and level sands stretch far away.”

I think just as Pakistan needs to look inward, as rightly counselled by the representative of Delhi, India too needs to reach out to its waning ancient sagacity. Conceit of any kind doesn’t help anyone. It didn’t help Ozymandias.

The writer is Dawn’s correspondent in Delhi.

[email protected]

22 July, 2010

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India Accepts Pakistan Air Force is a Leading Force :CONTINGENCY: In Another Possible Kamra Attack: PAF must Destroy IAF

If there is another Kamra or Mehran type Attack, PAF must Take out India’s Nuclear  & Strategic Sites
TIME FOR INDIAN CHIKENS, COMING TO ROOST-DESTROY THE WEAK IAF

“The Pakistan Air Force is stronger than ever. Since the last Indo-Pak air war of 1971, the Pakistan Air Force has with steely determination built up numbers, lethal capabilities and a combat force now counted as one of the most disciplined and well-trained air forces in the world. Headlines Today has a disturbing proof that all this has made India worried.” 

PAF MUST AVENGE FALL OF DHAKA-ARMY & NAVY SHOULD DEFEND THE BORDER

Over the years since 1971 the leadership and planners of Pakistan Air Force (PAF) have not slept, they did not believe in status quo. 1971 was the watershed period of PAF when the country had fallen from grace and truncated through internal and external conspiracies. To rise from ground zero is no mean job. But PAF has been lucky that by and large it remained in the hands of committed, dedicated professionals who took the challenge from the horn.

US AID CUT-OFF -A BLESSING IN DISGUISE

The US, true to its traditions dried all sources of military hardware and economic resources. But those sanctions proved blessing in disguise. Pakistan looked inwards and laid the foundations for self reliance with technical assistance from dependable friendly countries like China, Ukraine, Sweden etc. France was also willing to provide but its costs were prohibitive that kept the cooperation to a minimum level.

The bulk work was done with the cooperation of China that helped Pakistan in almost all the defence production, overhauling and rebuilding. The foundation of Pakistan Aeronautical Complex, Kamra was laid. Here a very modest beginning was made when the light Swedish aircraft (Mashak) was launched as a basic trainer to meet the needs of PAF and Pakistan Army. From assembly to manufacture and enhancement this aircraft became the training bed for a full fledged fighter aircraft production.

F-6 Rebuild Factory that rebuilt the Chinese MIG 19s re-designated by PAF as F-6. When all other sources had dried and Pakistan did not have the finances to go for highly expensive Mirage aircraft F-6 became the mainstay of PAF. It was modernized with latest avionics, ejection seats, armament, breaking system and taxing capability that added much more lethal power to an old vintage technology.

JF -17 SERIES

On the drawing boards of F 6 Rebuild Factory, newer aircraft designs were developed that were given computer simulation for design tests. First a Super Saber that was to be developed on the frame of MIG 21 or F-7 fighter bomber but due to some technical snags, it was called off. Then with a little gap and new thought process, a brand new design was developed with active participation of China the end product was JF 17 that exceeded all the performance parameter envelop by significant margins. This aircraft was designed, built, tested and inducted in the PAF in a record time.

1000 JF 17 by 2025-“EVEN IF WE EAT GRASS,” AS Z.A. BHUTTO WOULD SAY

JF 17 is a close match to F 16 with a huge price difference. It has been displayed at International Air Shows of China and Farnborough in the UK where it was admired by all. It soon became the most fancied aircraft of the developing world for its performance and low price tags and complete absence of any strings. China has also emerged as a major buyer with 300 copies of JF 17 and about the same number would be acquired by PAF.

Its not just the Chinese origin induction but PAF has also received latest F 16s that has a total strength of 60 aircraft half of which are block 52, the latest upgrade. The F-16 As already on the inventory of PAF are also undergoing major upgrade and soon will become equivalent to Block 52 version, in capabilities.

INDIA ATTACKED KAMRA AND MEHRAN THROUGH AFGHAN AGENTS

Not stopping here, as reported by India Today in its latest issue, “There’s a deeper threat at play than just fighter numbers. Consider these newly inducted force multipliers that all but kill the Indian air advantage. Pakistan is inducting four Swedish Saab Erieye and four Chinese Y-8 airborne early warning aircraft, while India, currently, has three. India no longer has the mid-air refueller advantage. Pakistan is inducting four identical IL-78M aircraft.”

PAF MUST KEEP INDIA FORCES WITHOUT AIR COVER AS THEY MOVE FROM THEIR BASES

After the acquisition of four mid-air refuelers (IL-78) from Ukraine and early warning systems like Saab 2000 from Sweden and ZDK-03 from China, PAF has had a quantum jump in reducing the gap with India over technology and firepower.

Whereas Pakistan is fast phasing out its old vintage, India is still stuck with old Russian equipment that is fast losing its edge over Pakistan. India Today states, “Finally, with an ageing Soviet fleet of aircraft (MIGs)that are troublesome and facing retirement, the Air Force looks at an even greater dip in the numbers advantage. The message to the Defence Ministry and the government is simple. Cut your losses and plan hard for the future. If you don’t, the Indian Air Force will lose the one thing you’ve always counted on: its combat edge.”

PAF MUST SHOW ITS PROWESS: PAKISTANI PEOPLE EXPECT IT

PAF has not stopped here. According to official sources, PAF is in the process of acquiring J10 the latest machine from China. The exact number or its assembly or production in Pakistan has not yet been finalized. This aircraft would surpass most of the advance jet fighters and compete with any aircraft in its class.

NUCLEAR CAPABLE PAF SHOULD HIT DEEP IN INDIA AT MISSILE SILOS

Now most PAF aircraft are nuclear capable and all can be refueled in mid-air. This is a punch that’s hard to match in any given theatre. What PAF lacked in deep penetration aircraft has more than made up with mid air refueling and latest F-16 Block 52 aircraft, which has a long range.

In last decade, the induction of latest aircraft by PAF has completed the requirements of fighting a modern concept of net centric war, in future. All these modern aircraft and allied air defence systems acquired by PAF are now fully integrated in a net centric environment, ready to deliver a decisive blow to the enemy in any future encounter.

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‘India Key Player Behind Terrorism In South Asia’

An Indian Spy Surjeet Singh, after spending more than thirty years in Pakistani jails, was released from Kot Lakhpat jail on 28th June 2012 and handed over to Indian authorities at Wagah Border. Surjeet Singh, soon after his release confessed that he spied for Indian Army and Intelligence. During investigation, he also revealed the modus of operandi of Indian intelligence agency of attracting, launching and carrying out terrorism through spies in the neighbouring countries. Examples of promoting LTTE in Sri Lanka, supporting Pilkhana Mascara and killing officers of Bangladeshi border force, backing Dalai Lama against China, sponsoring anti-state elements in Nepal and dreadful interference in collaboration with CIA in Balochistan, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (KPK) and bomb blasting all over Pakistan are some of the live examples of Indian regional terrorism through espionage network. After creating Bangladesh in 1971, RAW continued with its covert operations in the newborn country by injecting dissension among political parties, religious sects and armed forces. It instigated Chakmas in Chittagong Hills against the regime, trained and equipped the rebels and supported their insurgency. It also created and trained Shanti Bahini to carryout subversive activities. RAW had a hand in assassination of Gen Ziaur Rehman in 1981, who was pro-Pakistan and unfavorably disposed towards secularism. Sikkim, Nepal and Bhutan being landlocked were coerced and made totally dependent on India through machinations of RAW.

Indian Spy Surjeet Singh also committed that the verdict of Pakistani courts after a free and fair trial are genuine but on the other hand his country and handlers (RAW) are ruthlessly dealing with Pakistani fishers lying in Indian jails. RAW was instrumental in creating LTTE. India had not forgiven Colombo for allowing Pakistani aircraft and ships to use its ports for transporting war needs to the beleaguered Pak troops in East Pakistan.

As far as Surjeet Singh’s case is concerned, he has confessed that he carried out many bomb blasts in different cities of Pakistan which caused deaths of more than twenty innocent Pakistani citizens. It is also added here that king of terrorists’ world “Col Prohit” yet to be punished. Indian state terrorism in Kashmir, against Sikhs, Maoists and Christians need to be stopped and required global attention.

In short, Indian intelligence agencies nexus with CIA, MI-6 and Mossad is an open secret. The said agencies are carrying out joint operations in Balochistan and against Chinese working in different development projects of Pakistani remote areas. Pakistan should demand UN to devise some mechanism for stopping stat sponsored terrorism in the world.

Reference

https://pakdefenceunit.wordpress.com/2012/07/03/india-key-player-behind-terrorism-in-south-asia/

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RAW’s footprints: Indian Makaars are at it again!

RAW’s footprints

 

In the recent attack on PAF’s Kamra Airbase, the militants’ obvious target was the AWAC (Airborne warning and control) aircraft. The PAF had recently acquired three from Sweden. These aircrafts are expensive, very sophisticated and highly effective for air surveillance, looking deep into the enemy’s territory and for guiding own fighters onto their targets even below the ground-based radar’s coverage. These aircrafts are force multipliers and, therefore, very potent.

We may also recall the attack on Pak navy’s Mehran Base at Karachi conducted not so very long ago. The attackers ignored the aircraft parked at the adjacent PAF base as well as those based on its naval side – their targets were the two Orion naval surveillance aircraft acquired from the US. These aircrafts, too, are highly effective in detecting and destroying hostile submarines as well as surface ships – by day, night and in all weather conditions.

Considering that neither the air force AWAC’s, nor the navy’s Orions had any part to play in the anti-terrorist operations, why were these aircrafts singled out as targets? Did the TTP-hired guns have any gumption about the various types of aircraft and their functions? Obviously, not! They were merely following the instructions of their paymasters.

Let us shift our gaze to what was happening in Balochistan. Apart from daily killings and kidnappings, the militants had been targeting income-generating facilities, like the railways, sui gas installations, electricity pylons, etc, besides spreading sectarian violence. They had also been targeting the Chinese, who were helping us in various development projects in Balochistan and elsewhere. Here again, the systematic choice of targets – economic, sectarian, etc – provided clue to the real planners and perpetrators while the militants were merely the cat’s paw.

Move back further in time to Lahore and recall the attack on Sri Lanka’s cricket team. Pray what had the Sri Lankans to do with the Taliban or Nifaz-e-Sharia? None, of course! The aim was to bring a bad name to Pakistan and to isolate it from international cricket. Surely, that was not the objective of the Taliban!

Thus, the spectrum of violence from economic targets to attack on sensitive military installations, especially their high value assets, to sectarian killings and attack/abduction of foreigners, clearly indicated method to the madness – much beyond the ken of Taliban. The objectives of those well planned attacks were wide and varied: to destabilise the country, to undermine its economy, to isolate it from its friends, to denigrate Pakistan’s image internationally, to degrade its defence capability, to sow the seeds of hatred among the people. Above all, to show that if Pakistan cannot effectively defend its sensitive defence installations and control the widespread militancy and the lawlessness, how could it defend its nuclear assets!

It should be obvious that all those well thought out attacks could not be the work of simple, gun trotting Taliban. Who could be supporting them with the necessary funds, intelligence and planning?

By the mere process of elimination of the countries that could be behind such terrorist activities in this region, the finger clearly points towards India with which Pakistan has fought several major and minor wars since independence. To be specific, India’s notorious agency, RAW, (the architect of Bangladesh) having established itself in Afghanistan (thanks to Musharraf) is playing merry – hell with Pakistan – of course with the support of the Afghan government and Mossad.

Interior Minister Rehman Malik, and other high officials before him, had time and again accused the RAW for the ills going on in Pakistan. Even international observers like Christine Fair after her visit to Afghanistan had categorically stated that the Indian Consulates established there were involved in subversive activities against Pakistan. In fact, they had “confided in her that they were pumping money into Balochistan.” However, the Indian Interior Minister had claimed that “there was not a shred of evidence about India’s involvement!”

Perhaps, his confident utterance was not entirely misplaced. For RAW’s strategy was highly secretive – based on four M’s.

M for man: To select a rebellious leader like Mujibur Rehman (East Pakistan), Brahamdagh Khan Bugti (Balochistan), Hakeemullah Mehsud (Fata), Malvi Fazlullah (Swat), and Maulana Azam (late).To provide the top men with funds, intelligence and weaponry, but let them deal with their hired goous while RAW stayed in the background. So even when some militants were captured no one would be the wiser.

M for mission: The chosen leader must have a mission that should be propagated, as the aspiration of the majority. Like the demand for Bangladesh, Azad Balochistan, Nifaz-e-Sharia, etc.

M for militancy: To achieve the selected mission, they must resort to militancy based on the local mercenaries – under the banner of appealing names like Mukti Bahini, BLA, TTP, etc.

M for money and munitions: The militants must be supported with money and sophisticated weaponry.

How do we effectively counter RAW’s sinister aims?

First and foremost, the government and the armed forces must acknowledge the fact that a covert war had been unleashed against Pakistan to destabilise and, if possible, disintegrate Pakistan. What Pakistan was facing was not the run-of-the-mill militancy, but a full-fledged guerrilla warfare, totally beyond the capacity of the police and the civil armed forces. We must realise that after our attaining nuclear capability, the only option left for India was to destabilise Pakistan through “covert operations” – as open war would invite a nuclear response.

The armed forces must take charge before it is too late to coordinate the internal security of the country against the covert war, which was slowly eating into the vitals of the country. Additionally, we must set up an anti-RAW agency by pooling experienced personnel from various spy agencies. Its sole purpose should be to focus entirely on RAW’s machinations, to anticipate and to forestall them. And if push comes to a shove to give RAW a taste of its own medicine. We must realise that we are in a state of war and, therefore, the peace time procedures and lackadaisical approach would only spell disaster.

In the end, a word for our peaceniks. By all means pursue your dream of “Aman ki Asha” – indeed, any sensible person would want the two countries with their teeming millions living below the poverty line to be on friendly terms and not waste their limited resources in war mongering. Unfortunately, it will forever remain just an “Asha”, if the Indians do not change their mindset of “Atoot Ang” vis-à-vis Kashmir and “Akhund Bharat” vis-à-vis Pakistan.

It is very rightly said that actions speak louder than words. Pogrom at independence; the forcible occupation of the Muslim majority state of Kashmir; the Rann of Kutch battle; the 1965 war (India was the first to cross international border unannounced); the 1971 war thrust upon us without any provocation as such (to create Bangladesh); the occupation of Siachen; the building dams on three western rivers in stark violation of the Indus Waters Treaty while helping Afghanistan to build a dam’s on Kabul River (all with terrible economic consequences for Pakistan) and now this covert war. Need one say more?

The writer is a retired air

chief marshal.

Email:

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